A secondary cold front, not nearly as powerful as its predecessor that brought severe weather to the region yesterday afternoon and evening, will pass through the area this afternoon and evening. This front will be working with a relatively more stable atmosphere, with respect to yesterday’s atmospheric set-up, and thus only some scattered shower and thunderstorm activity looks to be possible. Some of the storms may produce some small hail, but this is expected to be the exception as opposed to the rule. Thunderstorms are not anticipated to reach severe criteria.
High pressure exerts brief control over the weather on Thursday, bringing seasonable temperature, and lower humidity, readings to the area. Meanwhile, an area of low pressure develops over the Tennessee Valley and pushes northeastward into the lower Great Lakes by Friday morning. The approach of this system may bring some showers to the Capital Region by Friday night and into early Saturday as secondary low pressure is forecast to form in the vicinity of New York City.
The entire system is forecast to lift north of the region by Saturday afternoon and on into Sunday. Any sunshine over the weekend may lead to the production of some instability clouds and showers from time to time thanks to weak upper level disturbances that look to be circulating around the main system. In short, the best chances for ‘steady’ rain look to be later Friday night and early Saturday, with spotty showers for the remainder of the weekend.
Unsettled weather looks to persist through the early portions of the new work week, as the upper level pattern shifts into a more zonal (west-to-east) flow, and a fast moving disturbance accelerates through the area by the midweek period next week.
Through the entire forecast period, temperatures look to average near normal, with precipitation averaging near normal as well.
FORECAST FOR THE ALBANY, SCHENECTADY, TROY, NY AREA AND VICINITY…
Today: Morning clouds and showers giving way to intervals of clouds and sunshine by afternoon. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible once again this afternoon. Some of the thunderstorms may contain some small hail. High in the lower 80’s. West winds 5-10 MPH. Chance of rain is 30%.
Tonight: Any evening showers and thunderstorms quickly diminishing after sunset. Otherwise, becoming partly cloudy and much less humid. Lows near 55. Light and variable winds. Chance of rain in the evening is 20%.
Thursday: Clouds mixing with sunshine, and a moderate breeze at times. Less humid than previous days. High 75-80. Northwest winds 5-15 MPH.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear and calm. Low 50-55.
Friday: Mostly sunny to start with some increasing clouds during the afternoon. High 75-80. South winds 5-10 MPH.
Saturday: Partly sunny with a 60% chance of morning showers. High near 75 and low near 55.
Sunday: Partly sunny with a 30% chance of showers. High near 75 and low near 50.
Monday: Partly sunny with a 30% chance of showers. High near 75 and low near 55.
LINKS USED IN FORECAST CREATION:
Current Surface Weather Map
Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC) Surface Weather Map 48 hour loop forecast
National Weather Service Albany, NY Climate Data (Normals & Extremes table)
State University of New York at Albany (DEAS) weather page