A stationary frontal boundary was draped from the central Plains, east to the mid-Atlantic coast, and then northeast into the Gulf of Maine Saturday morning. Ripples of low pressure are forming along this frontal boundary, over the Ohio Valley and convective blow-ups of clouds and precipitation are forming in response. One such system of showers and thunderstorms impacted portions of the Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic overnight Friday, and has since moved into the Atlantic Ocean and dissipated.
Another convective system of showers and thunderstorms was redeveloping over the same areas impacted last night, and appears to taking the same route as its predecessor. This system may bring some isolated storms to areas south of the Capital Region today. Some of the cirrus clouds on the northern periphery of the system may be visible in the skies over the Capital region this morning. For the most part, another hazy and hot day will be on tap across the Capital Region. Though an isolated afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out, conditions do not appear favorable for widespread precipitation at all. The overnight period looks to be tranquil as skies become mostly clear and temperatures dip back into the low to mid 60’s.
The same weather features will be in play through the beginning of the work week, and thus the forecast does not look to change much through this period. A warm front approaches the region on the Fourth of July, and Mother Nature may present her own atmospheric fireworks display as this front passes through the region during the morning hours. This will set the stage for some more heat, with some increasing humidity levels, for the end of the shortened work week and the start of next weekend. This will be thanks to high pressure, at both the surface and aloft, builds into the region from the center of the Nation by this time.
Temperatures look to average above normal for the entire forecast period, with precipitation near to slightly below normal.
Below is the forecast for the Albany, Schenectady, Troy, NY area and vicinity…
Today: Hazy and hot with a slight chance of an isolated afternoon thunderstorm. High in the low 90’s. West winds 5-15 MPH. Chance of rain is 20 percent.
Tonight: Mostly clear. Low 60-65. West winds 5 MPH or less.
Sunday: Hazy and hot with a slight chance of an isolated afternoon thunderstorm. High near 90. Northwest winds 5-15 MPH. Chance of rain is 20 percent.
Sunday Night: Fair. Low 60-65. Light west winds.
Monday: Mostly sunny with a chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 85-90. Northwest winds 5-15 MPH. Chance of rain is 30 percent.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and very mild with a 20 percent chance of an afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm. High near 85 and low near 65.
Fourth of July: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning. Otherwise, becoming hazy, hot, and humid. High near 90 and low near 65.
Thursday: Hazy, hot, and humid with a 20 percent chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High near 90 and low near 70.
Links used in forecast creation…
Current Surface Weather Map
Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC) Surface Weather Map 48 hour loop forecast
National Weather Service Albany, NY Climate Data (Normals & Extremes table)
State University of New York at Albany (DEAS) weather page