The Texas tally is in for the Presidential election faceoff. President Obama won the vast majority of his party’s Texas votes, with 516,248. That’s 88% of the registered Democrats who voted. His opponent will be Mitt Romney, who gained the obvious support of Texans, with nearly double the votesof Obama, at 990,886. But that was just shy of 70% of declared Republicans who voted. Ron Paul garnered 12% of the votes. Oddly, even those who have officially removed themselves from the Presidential Election Primary, but remained on the ballot still gained some support.
What do the statistics mean? First, Obama has a fight on his hands. Texas is obviously red. With twice the number of Republican votes as Democratic ones handedly going to his opponent, the second largest populated state, holding the second largest cache of electorates for the general election has the power to kill a second term for President Obama. Assuming the same number of voters turned out for the general election, no more and no less; and assuming that those who voted in the Primary will continue to vote for the same party, Mitt Romney would garner 1,436,789 votes to Obama’s 585,835. Romney would win Texas by nearly 2/3 of the voters already making their claim.
Most registered voters ignore the Primary election. But Texas’ recent past indicates a strong and consistent movement to the Republican Party. Those indicators show Texas will be decidedly red come November. Its power to seal the fate of the nation with other powerhouse states, such as California and Florida is clear. According to state statistical reports, as of April 2012, Florida has approximately 400,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans. In a state with over 11 million registered voters, this number seems meager. Nevertheless, it is a number that could win or lose an election for the President, provided the electorates are represented the same way. One more electorate could create an all-or-nothing blue state or vise versa.
California, though consistently ridiculed by conservatives as a democratically—and more accurately, a liberally dominant state, is actually closer to a split state according to 2011 statistics. Forty-four percent of the state claims to be Democrat. While the Republicans hold only 34%, the Independent voter includes 17% of the state’s voters. But the state estimates that nearly 70% of all voters of any party either considered themselves conservative or, to a smaller degree, “middle-of-the-road.” Only 32% of those likely to vote were liberal. Of course the definition of what liberal and conservative mean is relative. Yet, the statistics are interesting, because even in a traditionally liberal state such as California, President Obama will have to work extraordinarily hard to garner the votes needed to win.
There are more statistically red states than blue. But the Electoral College is arranged according to population. Only two states permit their electorates to be divided exactly as they individually vote. Most are “winner-take-all”states. A split state with the latter practice could swing widely for one candidate, exaggerating their slight win (as suggested above), into a huge one. In small states, the “winner-take-all” policy is more powerful for them than allowing the electorates to count individually. What does thing mean in relation to Texas? With the staggering number of Republican voters turning out, Texas could actually assist the smaller Red states in their influence, giving them more bang for their ballot buck than in previous elections.
Politics is never an absolute, given people change with the sunrise and sunset. The two questions yet unanswered by the voters are what influence the demographics of those voters will play—ethno-economic features that will more than likely swing wide to one side and the other; and how much the voters will trust the histories of the two contenders, Romney’s accomplishments versus Obama’s in light of what is needed to remedy current political, social, and economic woes? As with every other election these are the typical issues. But Americans have concerns today that have never been an issue to this degree in elections past. The United States has never had its credit rating downgraded. Americans have never in history been saddled with so much individual debt, by the hand of the Federal government. The nation has not been engaged in so many military conflicts since the World Wars. (We are presently engaged in 14 campaigns across the globe, involving as many countries.) Then there is the issue of Obama’s blatant defiance of constitutionally organized protocol—such as ignoring duties of Congress; legislating ad nauseam via Executive Order; and waiting until Congress recesses to make his own appointments to high positions of Administration.
Texas has a lot to question with respect to Obama’s goals. Houston, in particular, has reason to feel personally assualted by Obama policies and practices. NASA was shut down. The Oil industry has been constantly assaulted by Mr. Obama, as well as the energy industry on the whole. Illegal immigration, a problem that Mr. Obama not only ignores but seems to promote, has left Border States, Arizona and Texas most notably, on their own. Texas spends upwards of $8 Billion per year of its budget on the combined expenses of illegal immigration, including fighting the revolving door of illegal immigrant crime. (More than 75% of illegal aliens are involved in serious criminal activity.) Mr. Obama, via the DOJ is refusing to address the empirically obvious voter fraud issues found in the last election in Houston, along with other urban cities across the nation. Mr. Obama, via the DOJ deliberately meddled in the Texas legislative session, threatening shut down of airports if legislation was passed that supported state penal codes on sexual assault (performed by TSA in violation of those current statutes). Violation of state sovereignty by Mr. Obama has been in defiance of sustaining opinions of the Supreme Court that the Federal government has no power or jurisdiction over state legislatures. Add to that Pres. Obama insistence that NASA give China secret technology, after giving them the highest top secret technology that, when combined, can produce extraordinary military arsenal. Obama’s latest insult was to use extortion as a means of forcing Texas to provide abortions through Planned Parenthood in the Medicare/Medicaid programs. Apparently, Mr. Obama is not familiar with Texans. (Gov. Rick Perry told the President he could have his $40 M; Texans weren’t playing.) Combining all of these issues and plenty more, Texas would seem to have plenty of justification turning bright red.